Markets

Next Week's Market Outlook: Fed Meeting, FII Data Key Factors

By Hazle Jakubowski

September 15, 2024

329

The market outlook for the coming week is expected to be influenced by several key factors, including the anticipated US Federal Reserve rate cut, Japan's inflation data, and the activities of foreign institutional investors (FIIs), according to financial analysts. 
 
A major event that has garnered much attention this year is the upcoming meeting of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) scheduled for September 18th. Analysts believe that this could mark the commencement of an interest rate cut cycle in America. 
 
Following closely will be Japan's release of its inflation data next week, along with the Bank of Japan's announcement regarding its monetary policy. Any indication towards further tightening of monetary conditions in Japan could potentially raise concerns about a possible unwinding of Yen-carry trade since currently, interest rates in both countries are moving in contrasting directions. This scenario might introduce new elements of volatility within global markets. 
 
Domestically, FII data alongside movements in crude oil prices and geopolitical developments are set to influence market sentiments as well. 
 
Santosh Meena, Head Researcher at Swastika Investmart Ltd., pointed out some technical aspects, stating, "Nifty is presently trading at an all-time high with 25,500 acting as an immediate resistance level." He added that if there was a breakout above this level, it would likely trigger a rally towards reaching the 26,000 mark. 
 
"However," he continued, "the lower side displays 25,000 as now being a crucial support level; unless the NSE benchmark dips below this point, we can expect bullish momentum to continue; any movement beneath may lead to profit booking." 
 
Other experts share their focus on upcoming events such as the FOMC meeting while also considering domestic corporate earnings, which are predicted to improve on a quarter-on-quarter basis during Q2 for determining future directionality. 
 
Last week witnessed Indian equity markets experiencing sharp rallies closing at fresh all-time highs; Sensex rose by 1,707 points, or 2.10 percent, to reach 82,890, and Nifty increased by 504 points, or 2.03 percent, ending at 25,356 between September 9th and September 13th. 
 
This rally was primarily driven by positive global cues coupled with strong buying worth more than Rs 15000 crore from FIIs. As next week unfolds, these factors will continue to influence the market outlook in Maharashtra and beyond as investors keep a close eye on the developments within both domestic and international markets. 
   
In conclusion, the upcoming week is set to be an interesting one for market watchers globally given the number of influential events lined up. The decisions taken in these meetings could potentially have significant implications on global financial markets, including India's own equity market landscape.


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